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Churchill Club Prime 10 Tech Trends Debate
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Image by jurvetson
I just got back from the Churchill Club’s 13th Annual Top 10 Tech Trends Debate (website).

Curt Carlson, CEO of SRI, presented their trends from the podium, which are meant to be “provocative, plausible, debatable, and that it will be clear inside the subsequent 1-three years whether or not or not they will actually turn out to be trends.”

Then the panelists debated them. Speaking is Aneesh Chopra, CTO of the U.S., and smirking to his left is Paul Saffo, and then Ajay Senkut from Clarium, then me.

Right here are SRI’s 2011 Prime ten Tech Trends [and my votes]:

Trend 1. Age Just before Beauty. Technology is created for—and disproportionately utilized by—the young. But the young are obtaining fewer. The huge marketplace will be older folks. The aging generation has grown up with, and is comfortable with, most technology—but not with today’s most current technology goods. Technology product designers will uncover the Child Boomer’s technology comfort zone and will leverage it in the design of new devices. 1 instance these days is the Jitterbug cell phone with a huge keypad for simple dialing and potent speakers for clear sound. The trend is for Infant Boomers to dictate the technology items of the future.

[I voted YES, it is an critical and underserved market place, but for tech products, they are not the early adopters. The essential issue is age-inspired entrepreneurship. How can we get the entrepreneurial thoughts focused on this important marketplace?]

Trend two. The Doctor Is In. Some of our political leaders say that we have &quotthe very best health-related care technique in the world&quot. Consider what it should be like in the rest of the world! There are a lot of troubles, but one is the higher expense of delivering professional guidance. With the improvement of practical virtual individual assistants, powered by artificial intelligence and pervasive low-cost sensors, “the medical professional will be in”—online—for folks about the globe. Alternatively of the current Web paradigm: “fill out this form, and we’ll show you data about what may well be ailing you”, this will be true diagnosis—supporting, and in some cases replacing—human medical practitioners. We had been sending X-rays to India to be study now India is connecting to doctors right here for diagnosis in India. We see the notion in internet sites that now offer online videoconference interaction with a medical doctor. The next step is automation. The trend is toward full automation: a combination of artificial intelligence, the Web, and very low-expense medical instrumentation to offer higher-quality diagnostics and advice—including answering patient questions—online to a worldwide audience.

[NO. Most medical doctor check-ups and diagnoses will still need to be carried out in-person (blood tests, physical exams, and so on). Sensor technologies can not entirely replace human healthcare practitioners in the close to future. After we have the physical interface (individuals for now), then the networking and AI capabilities can engage, bringing specialist reactions to locally collected information. The true near-term trend in point-of-care is the adoption of iPads/phones connected to cloud solutions like ePocrates and Athenahealth and soon EMRs.]

Trend three. Created for Me. Manufacturing is undergoing a revolution. It is becoming technically and economically possible to develop products that are unique to the specific requirements of men and women. For example, a cell telephone that has only the hardware you require to help the features you want—making it lighter, thinner, far more effective, a lot cheaper, and simpler to use. This level of customization is getting created feasible by converging technical advances: new 3D printing technology is nicely documented, and networked micro-robotics is following. 3D printing now involves applications in jewelry, industrial design and style, and dentistry. While all of us might not be good product designers, we have different requirements, and we know what we want. The trend is toward sensible, one particular-off production of physical goods in widely distributed micro-factories: the ultimate customization of goods. The trend is toward practical, one particular-off production of physical goods in extensively distributed micro-factories: the ultimate customization of products.

[NO. Personalization is taking place just fine at the application level. The UI skins and app code is changeable at zero incremental price. Code permeates outward into the various vessels we develop for it. The iPhone. Quickly, the automobile (e.g. Tesla Sedan). Even the electrical circuits (when using an FPGA). This will extend naturally to biological code, with DNA synthesis fees plummeting (but that will probably remain centralized in BioFabs for the next 3 years. When it comes to developing custom physical issues, the expense and design challenges relegate it to prototyping, tinkering and hacks. As well many people have a tough time in 3D content material creation. The dilemma is the 2D interfaces of mouse and screen. Probably a multitouch interface to digital clay could help, exactly where the polygons snap to fit after the kind is molded by hand.]

Trend 4. Pay Me Now. Information about our personal behavior and traits is exploited regularly for industrial purposes, usually returning small or no value to us, and sometimes with out our knowledge. This knowledge is becoming a important asset and a major competitive advantage for the companies that gather it. Believe of your supermarket club card. These knowledge-gatherers will need to have to get smarter and much more aggressive in convincing us to share our data with them and not with their competitors. If Television advertisers could know who the viewers are, the worth of the commercials would go up enormously. The trend is technologies and organization models primarily based on attracting buyers to share big amounts of data exclusively with service providers.

[YES, but it’s nothing at all new. Amazon tends to make more on merchandising than product sales margin. And, certain organizations are receiving greater and better at acquiring client data and personalizing offerings specifically to these customers. RichRelevance offers this for ecommerce (driving 25% of all e-commerce on Black Friday). Across all these vendors, the average lift from personalizing the buying experience: 15% boost in general sales and 8% improve in lengthy-term profitability. But, basically being explicit and transparent to the consumer about the supply of the information can increase the effectiveness of targeted programs by up to one hundred% (e.g., saying “Because you bought this product and other shoppers who purchased it also purchased this other item&quot yielded a 100% enhance in solution recommendation effectiveness in many A/B tests). Social graph is incredibly worthwhile as a marketing and advertising tool.]

Trend 5. Rosie, At Last. We’ve been waiting a extended time for robots to live in and run our homes, like Rosie in the Jetsons’ household. It is happening a little now: robots are ultimately beginning to leave the manufacturing floor and enter people’s residences, offices, and highways. Robots can climb walls, fly, and run. We all know the Roomba for cleaning floors—and now there’s the Verro for your pool. Real-time vision and other sensors, and affordable precise manipulation, are enabling robots to help in our care, drive our vehicles, and shield our houses and house. We want to broaden our view of robots and the types they will take—think of a self-loading robot-compliant dishwasher or a self-defending property. The trend is robots becoming embedded in our environments, and taking advantage of the cloud, to comprehend and fulfill our requirements.

[NO. Not in 3 years. Wanting it badly does not make it so. But I just enjoy that Google RoboCar. Robots are not leaving the factory floor – that is exactly where the opportunity for newer robots and even humanoid robots will start. There is lots of factory work still to be automated. Rodney Brooks of MIT thinks they can be less expensive than the cheapest outsourced labor. So the robots are coming, to the factory and the roads to begin, and then the house.]

Trend six. Social, Really. The rise of social networks is effectively documented, but they’re not genuinely social networks. They are a mix of friends, strangers, organizations, hucksters—it’s a lot more like walking by means of a rowdy crowd in Instances Square at night with a group of close friends. There is a growing require for social networks that reflect the fundamental nature of human relationships: recognized identities, mutual trust, controlled levels of intimacy, and boundaries of shared details. The trend is the rise of correct social networks, designed to maintain real, respectful relationships on-line.

[YES. The ambient intimacy of Facebook is top to some startling statistics on fB evidence reuse by divorce lawyers (80%) and employment rejections (70%). There are differing approaches to solve this problem: Altly’s alternative networks with partioning and control, Jildy’s much better filtering and auto-segmentation, and Path’s 50 friend limit.]

Trend 7. In-Your-Face Augmented Reality. With ever-less expensive computation and advances in personal computer vision technology, augmented reality is becoming practical, even in mobile devices. We will move beyond costly telepresence environments and virtual reality games to completely immersive environments—in the workplace, on the factory floor, in medical care facilities, and in new entertainment venues. I after did an experiment exactly where a individual came into a space and sat down at a desk against a big, 3D, higher-definition Tv show. The projected image showed a area with a similar desk up against the screen. The individual would place on 3D glasses, and then a projected individual would enter and sit down at the other table. Soon after talking for 5 to ten minutes, the projected individual would stand up and place their hand out. Most of the time, the first person would also stand up and put their hand into the screen—they had speedily adapted and forgotten that the other person was not in the space. Augmented reality will turn into indistinguishable from reality. The trend is an enchanted world— The trend is hyper-resolution augmented reality and hyper-precise artificial individuals and objects that fundamentally improve people’s encounter of the planet.

[NO, lenticular screens are as well costly and 3D glasses are a discomfort in the cortex. Augmented reality with iPhones is excellent, and pragmatic, but not a leading ten trend IMHO]

Trend eight. Engineering by Biologists.
Biologists and engineers are distinct kinds of people—unless they are working on synthetic biology. We know about genetically engineered foods and creatures, such as gold fish in a number of other colors. Next we’ll have biologically engineered circuits and devices. Evolution has developed adaptive processing and technique resiliency that is a lot far more sophisticated than anything we’ve been able to design. We are learning how to tap into that natural knowledge, designing devices utilizing the mechanisms of biology. We have currently seen basic biological circuits in the laboratory. The trend is practical, engineered artifacts, devices, and computers primarily based on biology rather than just on silicon.

[YES, and NO due to the fact it was so badly mangled as a trend. For the subsequent few years, these approaches will be employed for fuels and chemical compounds and components processing due to the fact they lend themselves to a 3D fluid medium. Then 2D self-assembling monolayers. And eventually chips , starting with memory and sensor arrays long just before heterogeneous logic. And processes of biology will be an inspiration throughout (evolution, self-assembly, and so forth.). Possessing produced predictions along these themes for about a decade now, the wording of this 1 frustrated me]

Trend 9. ‘Tis a Gift to be Basic. Cyber attacks are ever much more frequent and successful. Most attacks exploit holes that are inevitable provided the complexity of the software program products we use every day. Cyber researchers truly realize this. To stay away from these vulnerabilities, some cyber researchers are starting to use only straightforward infrastructure and applications that are throwbacks to the computing planet of two decades ago. As simplicity is shown to be an efficient method for avoiding attack, it will turn into the guiding principle of computer software design and style. The trend is cyber defense through widespread adoption of basic, low-feature application for buyers and firms.

[No. I recognize the positive aspects of becoming open, and of heterogencity of code (to stay away from monoculture collapse), but we have lengthy ago left the domain of basic. Yes, Web transport protocols won through simplicity. The presentation layer, not so a lot. If you want dumb pipes, you need sensible edges, and wise edges can be hacked. Graham Spencer gave a great speak at SFI: the trend towards transport simplicity (e.g. dumb pipes) and &quotintelligence in the edges&quot led to mixing code and data, which in turn led to all kinds of XSS-like attacks. Drive-by downloading (enabled by XSS) is the most common car for delivering malware these days.]

Trend ten. Reverse Innovation. Mobile communication is proliferating at an astonishing rate in creating countries as value-points drop and wireless infrastructure improves. As creating nations leapfrog the need for physical infrastructure and brokers, employing mobile apps to conduct micro-scale company and to enhance quality of life, they are innovating new applications. The establishing world is swiftly becoming the largest market we’ve ever seen—for mobile computing and much a lot more. The trend is for creating countries to turn around the flow of innovation: Silicon Valley will start to understand far more from them about revolutionary applications than they need to have to learn from us about the underlying technology.

[YES, globalization is a megatrend nevertheless in the making. The mobile markets are clearly China, India and Korea, with app layer innovation increasingly originating there. Not fully of course, but we have a lot to discover from the early-adopter economies.]

Fw: Versatile waste pipe extruder machine for extensible siphon for washbasion soluations
mold tech china
Image by 350.org
To whom it concern,
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Main techinal parameter:
ModelPipe range (mm)Mold QuantityLine Speed (m/min)Capacity (kg/h)
SJ30/28φ6-12mm52 pairs8-1615
SJ45/28φ12-40mm44 or 72 pairs8-1645-60
SJ65/28Φ32-65mm44 or 72pairs8-12mm50-80

On the internet talk SKPYE ID: chinalindatrade

With greatest regards
Linda zhang (+8613553089618)
Export manager
Qingdao Royal-tech Machinery Co.,Ltd
Address: No.C02 2nd Industry Park Fu’an, Jiaozhou, Qingdao, Shandong, China
E-mail: info@plastextrusion.com
internet: www.plastextrusion.com
Tel/Fax: +86-532-82278531
Mobile: +8615853237665

2014-01-04

realonemachine

Fw: Flexible waste pipe extruder machine for extensible siphon for washbasion soluations
mold tech china
Image by 350.org
To whom it concern,
How about the wheather in your nation ?
today, our city is really hot , hope u can have a nice weather.
Today, I want to tell that we are the expert manufacturer for 1.PP/PVC/HDPE/PA single wall corrugated pipe machines employed in field of automobile corrugated pipe, auto installation wire corrugated pipe, cable put on pipe, versatile corrugated pipe, decorative lamps corrugated pipe, washing machine pipe, drain farmland underground pipe, hotel constructing corrugated pipe, and so on. Method plastic material is PE, PP, PVC, PA, and so on.
Our yet another professional machine is PP/PE extensible corrugated pipe machine, it can make corrugated plastic straw, extensible corrugated toilet pipe, extensible corrugated breathing pipe, extensible healthcare pipe….
if you want to know more particulars about our machine, please go to our vedio in youtube:
youtu.be/EjRfjLkv874
youtu.be/ZEA6g4pOlkA

Primary techinal parameter:
ModelPipe range (mm)Mold QuantityLine Speed (m/min)Capacity (kg/h)
SJ30/28φ6-12mm52 pairs8-1615
SJ45/28φ12-40mm44 or 72 pairs8-1645-60
SJ65/28Φ32-65mm44 or 72pairs8-12mm50-80

On the internet talk SKPYE ID: chinalindatrade
With best regards
Linda zhang (+8613553089618)
Export manager
Qingdao Royal-tech Machinery Co.,Ltd
Address: No.C02 2nd Market Park Fu’an, Jiaozhou, Qingdao, Shandong, China
E mail: info@plastextrusion.com
Tel/Fax: +86-532-82278531
Mobile: +8615853237665

2014-01-04

realonemachine

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